Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 141.967641 166.734061 196.807180 236.762715 289.659228 359.153710 460.787414
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 109.702857 138.464656 177.548657 237.049816 330.523404 482.707066 779.554665
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 90.497660 118.624048 159.243217 226.128312 343.027606 563.732151 1105.978501
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 82.196281 111.577997 156.523866 236.506840 392.888424 742.878909 1913.356492
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 72.428016 100.421346 144.787982 227.752736 402.677217 845.909686 2776.650594
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 66.694779 94.485929 140.172006 230.223312 436.674637 1043.530973 4900.967139
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 60.941138 87.679779 132.818197 225.352531 451.755834 1205.363144 8293.720742
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 59.833809 88.273946 138.428200 248.321708 550.240068 1834.235838 40556.658343
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 60.045392 91.066805 148.517945 284.572956 716.860882 3359.534062 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 56.322530 86.439855 143.418581 283.153194 759.017641 4320.734781 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 53.629332 83.377604 140.993392 287.945398 830.707538 6149.705805 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 50.983749 80.125078 137.691394 289.556813 892.841927 8722.703605 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 47.976901 76.330926 133.625266 290.863642 973.723326 14388.543549 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 45.202233 72.765132 129.690921 292.122107 1065.792922 27553.699581 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 41.776707 67.575617 121.341450 277.284562 1050.530520 36918.259164 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 40.453007 66.385120 121.920398 291.293918 1247.208647 203319.317953 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 37.848188 62.382222 115.361445 279.480069 1245.619920 509182.975556 NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 36.292545 60.371068 113.289474 282.807509 1379.105082 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 34.404441 57.519793 108.816747 276.252584 1420.105558 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 34.349479 58.456360 113.828930 307.333982 1945.769398 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 34.805683 60.519883 122.143235 357.245608 3096.380995 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 33.385305 58.368650 118.897822 355.271609 3383.704164 NaN NaN
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 32.343167 56.972094 117.546846 361.940742 3969.904498 NaN NaN